(warning: may actually contain factual information)
The road so far
· Spain: Group stages; Loss 0-1 VS Switzerland, Win 2-0 VS Honduras, Win 2-1 VS Chile (finished top of group)
Round of 16; Win 1-0 VS Portugal
Quarter Final; Win 1-0 VS Honduras
Semi Final; Win 1-0 VS Germany
Analysis: Not an overly strong batch of opponents (apart from Germany & maybe Portugal), are probably the bigger wasters of good opportunities in this world cup yet somehow are in the final, apart from the 1st game they have never had to play from behind, no-one has really put that much pressure on their midfield through which everything revolves.
· The Netherlands: Group stages; Win 2-0 VS Denmark, Win 1-0 VS Japan, Win 2-1 VS Cameroon (finished top of group)
Round of 16; Win 2-1 VS Slovakia
Quarter Final; Win 2-1 VS Brazil
Semi Final; Win 3-2 VS Uruguay
Analysis: Again not the strongest tests, apart from Brazil, although the Brazilian implosion was mostly self-inflicted it seems. Has won every game, seemingly doing it with ease at times, very consistent squad of over-achievers.
Why they will win
· Spain:
1. Possess the best passing game of any team at this world cup
2. Greatest amount of individual stars
3. They have to eventually put it all together eventually and score a heap of goals
4. Won’t be overawed be occasion having won European championships 2 years ago and having players who have played in big European Cup competitions for their club sides.
· The Netherlands:
1. Play a style that will disrupt the Spanish passing game
2. Can score from anywhere (as seen against Uruguay)
3. Have a jersey that is can not be looked at for a long time as may cause blindness
4. Have ability to be able to play better as an underdog
Why they will lose
· Spain:
1. Can sometimes play very selfishly
2. May have already played their final against Germany
3. Waste too many goal scoring opportunities, this has to come back and bite them eventually
4. Little known fact; the Spanish are very patriotic about their individual regions (think NSW vs Vic vs Qld ´ 1000) but not so much about actual national teams, the players know this as well, if an individual makes a mistake that leads to Spain losing the game they will be not only letting the country down but also their region leading to scorn from the rest of the population.
· The Netherlands:
1. The shadow of history; the legendary Dutch teams of the 70’s made the final twice but didn’t win either, there may be believe that they are not good enough to win.
2. In big games great players stand up & the Dutch may not have enough quality players on the pitch to be able to take the game by the scruff of the neck.
3. Until making the final there has been very little focus on them, even when beating Brazil the post-match was all about the self-implosion of the South Americans, this may come to prove a significant factor now the whole world is watching them.
4. Will have to score early, if the Spanish are able to dominate possession and field position early, the Dutch may start to get frustrated and get away from their game plan.
This may mean nothing but…
· If Spain win, New Zealand will be the only team to go through the world cup undefeated. Whilst the last time the Netherlands lost was to the Socceroos in late 2008!
· This will be the 1st world cup win for both The Netherlands (3rd final) and Spain (1st final)
· This will be the first time a team from Europe has won in the Southern Hemisphere and outside Europe.
· As both teams have locals as coach the streak of only local coaches winning world cups continues.
·Also I see that the Dutch are the “home team” and thus can wear their orange jerseys whilst the Spaniards will have to wear their navy clash strip, I think that that could make a difference, I have no idea why, I just remember the Australia-Germany game and think that navy is not a winning colour in this world cup, just look at France and Italy.
·
Final Verdit:
It looks pretty cut and dried on paper; the Spanish look flashier and have more high quality players to call on. Thus they should win right…
I actually think that all the missed chances that Spanish have wasted throughout the tournament has got to eventually bite them on the arse, it’s a big if but IF the Dutch can score a couple a couple of long-range goals like they have been doing, the Spanish may get very nervous knowing that the goals may never come for them.
Thus I am going against the octopus and am predicting The Netherlands will win 2-1.